Sunday, April 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Corey Kluber
The New York Mets visit Progressive Field on Sunday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Steven Matz for the Mets and Corey Kluber for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +143 and Cleveland at -153. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 4-5-0 over/under record and a 3-6-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 33% of the time. The Indians are 3-5-0 against the run line and have a 4-3-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 4-5 record, including 2-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 37.80 and a WHIP of 4.80. He has 1 strikeout over his 1.2 innings pitched and he has given up 6 hits so far this season. He has allowed 32.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 13.36. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 31 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 34 times and walking 12 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.56 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.15. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 82 base hits and 28 earned runs. They have allowed 5 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 23 batters and struck out 85. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 2.71.
As a team, New York is batting .216, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Mets hold a .315 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 10 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 5 runs batted in. He's struck out 12 times and has walked 3 times. Lucas Duda is hitting .226 and he has an on-base percentage of .273. He has totaled 7 hits so far while scoring 4 runs and he's driven in 3. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 8 times. The Mets have 63 hits, including 11 doubles and 6 home runs. They've stolen 3 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 time. New York has walked 32 times this season and they've struck out 80 times as a unit. They've left 66 men on base and have a team OPS of .615. They score 2.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 26 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 1-2 home record and a 4-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.85, Corey Kluber has a 0-2 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 13 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.62. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.91 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 18 times and walking 10 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.36 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 63 base knocks and 32 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 14 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 25 hitters and struck out 65. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 5.10.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Indians hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .207 and he has an OBP of .294. He has 6 hits this year along with 3 runs scored and 8 RBI. He's struck out 4 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .400. He has collected 9 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 4. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 8 times. The Indians as a unit have 67 base hits, including 13 doubles and 10 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Cleveland as a team has walked 25 times this year and they have struck out 77 times. They've had 55 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.38 runs per game and have totaled 35 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 4-5-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 3-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 4-3-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 3-5-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/15/16 P Jacob deGrom Shoulder out indefinitely
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/05/16 P Tommy Hunter Side 15-day DL (3/26)
04/04/16 3B Lonnie Chisenhall Arm 15-day DL (3/28)
04/04/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Indians
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