Friday, May 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Jon Gray
The New York Mets visit Coors Field on Friday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Jon Gray for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -141 and Colorado at +131. The over/under was set at 10.5. The Mets have a 17-15-1 over/under record and a 16-17-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rockies are 18-16-0 against the run line and have a 18-15-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 21-12 record, including 12-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.48. He has 35 strikeouts over his 40 innings pitched and he has given up 46 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.66 and they have given up 84 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 110 times and walking 31 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.08 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.78. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 280 base hits and 91 earned runs. They have allowed 20 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 73 batters and struck out 297. They walk 2.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 2.73.
As a team, New York is batting .241, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Mets hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.06 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .283 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 34 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 24 times and has walked 6 times. Michael Conforto is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 32 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 30 times. The Mets have 266 hits, including 56 doubles and 51 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. New York has walked 120 times this season and they've struck out 280 times as a unit. They've left 238 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 143 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 5-10 home record and a 16-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.40, Jon Gray has a 0-1 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 21.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 21 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.53. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 99 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 327 base knocks and 174 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 102 hitters and struck out 262. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.
As a team, they are batting .275, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .292 average at home. The Rockies hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.71 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .304 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 41 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 9 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 31. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 15 times. The Rockies as a unit have 331 base hits, including 73 doubles and 44 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Colorado as a team has walked 104 times this year and they have struck out 275 times. They've had 225 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They score 5.18 runs per game and have totaled 176 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 17-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 16-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 18-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 18-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
05/12/16 P Steven Matz Elbow expected to miss next scheduled start Saturday
05/12/16 SS Wilmer Flores Hamstring 15-day DL
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/07/16 C Nick Hundley Oblique 15-day DL (5/6)
04/27/16 P Jorge DeLaRosa Groin 15-day DL (4/27)
04/23/16 P Miguel Castro Shoulder 15-day DL (4/18)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 2B Daniel Descalso Hand 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
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