Sunday, May 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Tyler Chatwood
The New York Mets visit Coors Field on Sunday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -125 and Colorado at +115. The over/under was set at 10.5. The Mets have a 17-17-1 over/under record and a 16-19-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Rockies are 19-16-0 against the run line and have a 18-16-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 21-14 record, including 12-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 20 strikeouts over his 29.2 innings pitched and he has given up 31 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.68. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.52 and they have given up 86 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 114 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.99 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.93. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 300 base hits and 101 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 74 batters and struck out 310. They walk 2.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 2.76.
As a team, New York is batting .236, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Mets hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.86 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 37 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 25 times and has walked 6 times. Michael Conforto is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 33 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 31 times. The Mets have 275 hits, including 59 doubles and 51 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. New York has walked 122 times this season and they've struck out 305 times as a unit. They've left 247 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 145 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 6-10 home record and a 17-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.09, Tyler Chatwood has a 4-3 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 43.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 41 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 127 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 103 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.83 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 333 base knocks and 176 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 103 hitters and struck out 274. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .277, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .295 average at home. The Rockies hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.77 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .338. He has 41 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 32 times and has walked on 9 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .390. He has collected 44 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 31. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 15 times. The Rockies as a unit have 343 base hits, including 77 doubles and 44 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Colorado as a team has walked 105 times this year and they have struck out 282 times. They've had 232 men left on base and have an OPS of .801. They score 5.17 runs per game and have totaled 181 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 17-17-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 16-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 18-16-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 19-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
05/12/16 P Steven Matz Elbow expected to miss next scheduled start Saturday
05/12/16 SS Wilmer Flores Hamstring 15-day DL (5/11)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/13/16 SS Jose Reyes Suspension expected to miss another 16 games
05/07/16 C Nick Hundley Oblique 15-day DL (5/6)
04/27/16 P Jorge DeLaRosa Groin 15-day DL (4/27)
04/23/16 P Miguel Castro Shoulder 15-day DL (4/18)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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