Friday, August 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Justin Verlander
The New York Mets visit Comerica Park on Friday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Noah Syndergaard for the Mets and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The Mets have a 46-58-3 over/under record and a 46-61-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Tigers are 62-45-0 against the run line and have a 55-47-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 55-52 record, including 26-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 150 strikeouts over his 123.1 innings pitched and he has given up 116 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.1. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 269 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen while being struck out 344 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.43. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 896 base hits and 360 earned runs. They have allowed 93 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 277 batters and struck out 913. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.43.
As a team, New York is batting .239, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Mets hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 97 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 59 runs batted in. He's struck out 86 times and has walked 36 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 95 hits so far while scoring 42 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 80 times. The Mets have 849 hits, including 160 doubles and 139 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. New York has walked 332 times this season and they've struck out 888 times as a unit. They've left 741 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 3.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 398 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 31-19 home record and a 59-48 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.54, Justin Verlander has a 11-6 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 155 strikeouts over the 147.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 116 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 338 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 280 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 966 base knocks and 454 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 312 hitters and struck out 782. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .279 average at home. The Tigers hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .289 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 125 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 59 RBI. He's struck out 83 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Nick Castellanos is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 114 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 104 times. The Tigers as a unit have 987 base hits, including 161 doubles and 142 homers. They have 46 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Detroit as a team has walked 319 times this year and they have struck out 876 times. They've had 724 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.82 runs per game and have totaled 516 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 46-58-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 46-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 55-47-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 62-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
08/03/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Leg 15-day DL
08/02/16 CF Justin Ruggiano Hamstring 15-day DL (8/2)
08/02/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee 15-day DL (8/1)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/30/16 3B Jose Reyes Oblique 15-day DL (7/30)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/02/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01); expected to start Thursday vs Chicago White Sox
08/02/16 P Mike Pelfrey Back 15-day DL (8/2)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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