Sunday, August 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Anibal Sanchez
The New York Mets visit Comerica Park on Sunday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Anibal Sanchez for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -127 and Detroit at +117. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mets have a 46-60-3 over/under record and a 48-61-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Tigers are 62-47-0 against the run line and have a 56-48-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 56-53 record, including 27-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 117 strikeouts over his 119.2 innings pitched and he has given up 101 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.98. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen while being struck out 348 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 913 base hits and 365 earned runs. They have allowed 94 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 279 batters and struck out 925. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.41.
As a team, New York is batting .238, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Mets hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.89 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .255 and his on-base percentage is at .308. He has 95 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 22 times. Neil Walker is hitting .265 and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 96 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 47. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 77 times. The Mets have 859 hits, including 161 doubles and 142 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. New York has walked 335 times this season and they've struck out 908 times as a unit. They've left 749 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 3.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 405 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 32-20 home record and a 60-49 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.26, Anibal Sanchez has a 6-11 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 100.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 120 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.07. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 343 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 286 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 981 base knocks and 463 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 317 hitters and struck out 797. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .278 average at home. The Tigers hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.21 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 128 hits this year along with 87 runs scored and 60 RBI. He's struck out 85 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Nick Castellanos is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 114 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 106 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,004 base hits, including 163 doubles and 145 homers. They have 48 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Detroit as a team has walked 322 times this year and they have struck out 889 times. They've had 734 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They score 4.8 runs per game and have totaled 523 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 46-60-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 48-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 56-48-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 62-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
08/03/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad 15-day DL (8/4)
08/02/16 CF Justin Ruggiano Hamstring 15-day DL (8/2)
08/02/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee 15-day DL (8/1)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/30/16 3B Jose Reyes Oblique 15-day DL (7/30)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/05/16 CF Cameron Maybin Thumb "?" Saturday vs. New York Mets
08/05/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Back injured last start, "?" for next start
08/02/16 P Mike Pelfrey Back 15-day DL (8/2)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets
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