Monday, May 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Scott Kazmir
The New York Mets visit Dodger Stadium on Monday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Steven Matz for the Mets and Scott Kazmir for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -113 and Los Angeles at +103. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 16-12-1 over/under record and a 14-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Dodgers are 13-17-0 against the run line and have a 10-17-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 18-11 record, including 9-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 30 strikeouts over his 28.2 innings pitched and he has given up 27 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.38. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.62 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 103 times and walking 29 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.22 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.78. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 249 base hits and 80 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 67 batters and struck out 265. They walk 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 2.61.
As a team, New York is batting .242, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Mets hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.07 hits per game. Neil Walker comes into this game hitting .261 and his on-base percentage is at .299. He has 29 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 23 times and has walked 6 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 31 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 20 times. The Mets have 234 hits, including 50 doubles and 46 home runs. They've stolen 7 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. New York has walked 105 times this season and they've struck out 242 times as a unit. They've left 205 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 129 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 5-8 home record and a 15-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.68, Scott Kazmir has a 2-2 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.1. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 66 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 72 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.18 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 228 base knocks and 110 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 27 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 78 hitters and struck out 251. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.51.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .225 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.07 hits per contest. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .365. He has 32 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 26 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Yasiel Puig is hitting .236 and he has an OBP of .288. He has collected 26 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 26 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 247 base hits, including 53 doubles and 22 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 105 times this year and they have struck out 239 times. They've had 214 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They score 4.3 runs per game and have totaled 129 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 16-12-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 14-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 10-17-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 13-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Los Angeles Dodgers
05/03/16 P Josh Ravin Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 15-day DL (4/23)
04/11/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Back 15-day DL (4/10)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Michael Bolsinger Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 3B Alex Guerrero Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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