Friday, June 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Tom Koehler
The New York Mets visit Marlins Park on Friday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Noah Syndergaard for the Mets and Tom Koehler for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -154 and Miami at +144. The over/under was set at 7. The Mets have a 25-26-1 over/under record and a 21-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Marlins are 26-27-0 against the run line and have a 27-25-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 29-23 record, including 14-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard has a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.96. He has 81 strikeouts over his 63.2 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.66. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the bullpen while being struck out 173 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.20. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 432 base hits and 165 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 127 batters and struck out 456. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.15.
As a team, New York is batting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Mets hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.58 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 52 hits this season along with 16 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 11 times. Michael Conforto is hitting .252 and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 41 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 45 times. The Mets have 394 hits, including 73 doubles and 73 home runs. They've stolen 11 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. New York has walked 177 times this season and they've struck out 473 times as a unit. They've left 357 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 3.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 195 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 12-14 home record and a 28-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, Tom Koehler has a 3-5 record and a 1.65 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 54 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 54 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.45. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 161 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 169 times and walking 86 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 441 base knocks and 207 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 216 hitters and struck out 436. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 3.81.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Marlins hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.3 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .210 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 33 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 63 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .313 and he has an OBP of .411. He has collected 51 hits so far while he's scored 25 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 32 times. The Marlins as a unit have 493 base hits, including 91 doubles and 46 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 151 times this year and they have struck out 401 times. They've had 403 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 3.92 runs per game and have totaled 208 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 25-26-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 21-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 27-25-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 26-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/01/16 3B David Wright Neck doubtful Friday vs Miami Marlins
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/02/16 SS Miguel Rojas Shoulder is upgraded to expected to be available Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/02/16 3B Derek Dietrich Wrist is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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