Saturday, July 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Jose Fernandez
The New York Mets visit Marlins Park on Saturday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +135 and Miami at -145. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Mets have a 39-53-2 over/under record and a 39-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Marlins are 49-46-0 against the run line and have a 49-45-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 50-44 record, including 24-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 6-4 record with an earned run average of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.03. He has 98 strikeouts over his 102 innings pitched and he has given up 82 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 299 times and walking 104 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.35. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 790 base hits and 309 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 237 batters and struck out 794. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.48.
As a team, New York is batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.86 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .367. He has 88 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 52 runs batted in. He's struck out 79 times and has walked 32 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 90 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 71 times. The Mets have 739 hits, including 140 doubles and 128 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 295 times this season and they've struck out 797 times as a unit. They've left 641 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 352 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 24-19 home record and a 52-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.53, Jose Fernandez has a 11-4 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 168 strikeouts over the 113.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 82 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 324 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 778 base knocks and 372 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 95 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 330 hitters and struck out 818. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.46 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .314 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 112 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 32 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 80 times. The Marlins as a unit have 899 base hits, including 158 doubles and 81 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Miami as a team has walked 269 times this year and they have struck out 734 times. They've had 719 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 399 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 39-53-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 39-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 49-45-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 49-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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