Friday, June 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Junior Guerra
The New York Mets head to Miller Park on Friday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Junior Guerra for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has New York at -130 and Milwaukee at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The Mets have a 28-29-1 over/under mark and a 24-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Brewers are 28-31-0 against the run line and have a 30-25-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Mets head into this game with a 32-26 record, and they are 17-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 4-8 record with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.44. He has 53 strikeouts during his 67.1 innings pitched and he has given up 79 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.94. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have allowed 144 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the pen while they've been struck out 187 times and walked 65 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.42 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.15. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 483 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 143 batters and struck out 505. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.13.
As a team, New York is hitting .231, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .243 average on the road. The Mets have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .308 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.64 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .319. He has 55 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 13 times. Neil Walker is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 56 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 51 times. The Mets have 443 hits, including 83 doubles and 79 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 195 times this season and they've struck out 531 times as a unit. They've left 398 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 3.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 215 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 17-15 home mark and a 28-31 overall record. With an ERA of 3.61, Junior Guerra has a 3-1 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 42.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 36 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 191 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 183 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 529 base knocks and 263 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 204 hitters and struck out 432. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Brewers hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .328 and he has an OBP of .395. He has 59 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 28 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 62 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 40 times. The Brewers as a unit have 473 base hits, including 91 doubles and 63 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 236 times this year and they have struck out 561 times. They've had 413 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 4.14 runs per game and have totaled 244 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 28-29-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 24-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-25-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/07/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb out indefinitely
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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