Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Logan Verrett vs. Wily Peralta
The New York Mets visit Miller Park on Saturday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Logan Verrett for the Mets and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -131 and Milwaukee at +121. The over/under was set at 9. The Mets have a 28-30-1 over/under record and a 25-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Brewers are 28-32-0 against the run line and have a 30-26-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 33-26 record, including 18-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Logan Verrett has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 26 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 36 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 146 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen while being struck out 189 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.14. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 492 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 143 batters and struck out 509. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.12.
As a team, New York is batting .233, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Mets hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.73 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .325. He has 57 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 14 times. Neil Walker is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 56 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 51 times. The Mets have 456 hits, including 87 doubles and 80 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 198 times this season and they've struck out 539 times as a unit. They've left 408 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 3.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 220 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 17-16 home record and a 28-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.79, Wily Peralta has a 3-7 record and a 1.93 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 61 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 92 hits. He has allowed 13.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 196 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 186 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 542 base knocks and 268 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 207 hitters and struck out 440. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Brewers hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.05 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .321 and he has an OBP of .387. He has 59 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 28 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 62 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 41 times. The Brewers as a unit have 483 base hits, including 94 doubles and 63 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 236 times this year and they have struck out 565 times. They've had 417 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 246 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 28-30-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 25-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-26-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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