Thursday, June 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Bartolo Colon vs. Jimmy Nelson
The New York Mets head to Miller Park on Thursday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Bartolo Colon for the Mets and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has New York at +105 and Milwaukee at -115. The over/under is 9. The Mets have a 27-29-1 over/under mark and a 24-33-0 run line record, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Brewers are 27-31-0 against the run line and have a 30-24-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Mets head into this game with a 31-26 record, and they are 16-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon has a 4-3 record with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 46 strikeouts during his 66 innings pitched and he has given up 68 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.74. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have allowed 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the pen while they've been struck out 184 times and walked 61 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.41 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.83 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.15. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 473 base hits and 177 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 137 batters and struck out 497. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.13.
As a team, New York is hitting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .241 average on the road. The Mets have a .403 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .307 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.58 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 54 hits this season along with 18 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 11 times. Neil Walker is hitting .278 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 55 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 51 times. The Mets have 432 hits, including 81 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 189 times this season and they've struck out 523 times as a unit. They've left 389 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 3.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 209 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 16-15 home mark and a 27-31 overall record. With an ERA of 3.43, Jimmy Nelson has a 5-4 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 76 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.88. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 190 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 182 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.44 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 526 base knocks and 263 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 204 hitters and struck out 427. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.83.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Brewers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .335 and he has an OBP of .403. He has 59 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .316 and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 62 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 40 times. The Brewers as a unit have 464 base hits, including 91 doubles and 63 homers. They have 49 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 234 times this year and they have struck out 555 times. They've had 407 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They score 4.14 runs per game and have totaled 240 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 27-29-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 24-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-24-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 27-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/07/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb out indefinitely
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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