Wednesday, August 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Ivan Nova
The New York Mets head to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday to take on the New York Yankees. The probable pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Ivan Nova for the Yankees. The opening line for this game has New York at -193 and New York at +183. The over/under is 8.5. The Mets have a 44-58-3 over/under mark and a 45-60-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Yankees are 49-56-0 against the run line and have a 44-52-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Mets head into this game with a 54-51 record, and they are 26-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 8-7 record with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 106 strikeouts during his 113 innings pitched and he has given up 117 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.35. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have allowed 265 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the pen while they've been struck out 340 times and walked 120 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.51 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.40. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 881 base hits and 350 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 271 batters and struck out 895. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.42.
As a team, New York is hitting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Mets have a .406 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .309 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 95 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 84 times and has walked 36 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 95 hits so far while scoring 42 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 80 times. The Mets have 828 hits, including 156 doubles and 135 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. New York has walked 327 times this season and they've struck out 875 times as a unit. They've left 729 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 386 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 29-22 home mark and a 53-52 overall record. With an ERA of 4.90, Ivan Nova has a 7-6 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 97.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 107 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 380 times and walking 94 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.94 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 881 base knocks and 432 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 136 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 269 hitters and struck out 918. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Yankees hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.33 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .332. He has 95 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 32 RBI. He's struck out 48 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Carlos Beltran is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 109 hits so far while he's scored 50 runs and drove in 64. He has earned a walk 22 times and has punched out 70 times. The Yankees as a unit have 875 base hits, including 151 doubles and 106 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. New York as a team has walked 300 times this year and they have struck out 735 times. They've had 700 men left on base and have an OPS of .700. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 425 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 44-58-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 45-60-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 44-52-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 49-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
08/01/16 CF Justin Ruggiano Hamstring injured last game, doubtful Tuesday vs. New York Yankees
08/01/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. New York Yankees
08/01/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee expected to miss Tuesday vs. New York Yankees
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/30/16 3B Jose Reyes Oblique 15-day DL (7/30)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees
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