Friday, July 15, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Jeremy Hellickson
The New York Mets visit Citizens Bank Park on Friday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -126 and Philadelphia at +116. The over/under was set at 9. The Mets have a 39-47-2 over/under record and a 36-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Phillies are 45-45-0 against the run line and have a 44-44-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 47-41 record, including 21-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 91 strikeouts over his 93 innings pitched and he has given up 81 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.25. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 228 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 283 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 744 base hits and 295 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 225 batters and struck out 749. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.51.
As a team, New York is batting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.88 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .262 and his on-base percentage is at .320. He has 83 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 66 times and has walked 21 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .302 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 87 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 77 times. The Mets have 693 hits, including 132 doubles and 122 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. New York has walked 283 times this season and they've struck out 756 times as a unit. They've left 603 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 3.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 335 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 21-23 home record and a 42-48 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.92, Jeremy Hellickson has a 6-6 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 105.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 100 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 284 times and walking 109 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 807 base knocks and 384 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 242 hitters and struck out 759. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .225 average at home. The Phillies hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 97 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .269 and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 63 times. The Phillies as a unit have 727 base hits, including 135 doubles and 89 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 209 times this year and they have struck out 704 times. They've had 541 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They score 3.64 runs per game and have totaled 328 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 39-47-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 36-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-44-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
07/12/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad "?" Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/08/16 P Noah Syndergaard Arm "?" for next scheduled start
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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