Friday, September 30, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Robert Gsellman vs. Alec Asher

The New York Mets visit Citizens Bank Park on Friday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Robert Gsellman for the Mets and Alec Asher for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -149 and Philadelphia at +139. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mets have a 74-82-3 over/under record and a 74-85-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Phillies are 82-76-0 against the run line and have a 78-72-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Mets head into this matchup with a 85-74 record, including 41-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Robert Gsellman has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 35 strikeouts over his 38.2 innings pitched and he has given up 35 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.83. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 463 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 557 times and walking 186 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,372 base hits and 567 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 434 batters and struck out 1,369. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.

As a team, New York is batting .245, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Mets hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.26 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .283 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 133 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 85 runs batted in. He's struck out 107 times and has walked 51 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 144 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 37 times and has struck out 102 times. The Mets have 1,314 hits, including 236 doubles and 216 home runs. They've stolen 41 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. New York has walked 511 times this season and they've struck out 1,281 times as a unit. They've left 1,102 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 659 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 36-42 home record and a 70-88 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.66, Alec Asher has a 2-0 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 21.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 17 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 535 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 499 times and walking 209 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.13 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,433 base knocks and 722 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 210 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 454 hitters and struck out 1,266. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .293 and he has an OBP of .372. He has 156 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 113 times and has walked on 66 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 164 hits so far while he's scored 87 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 62 times and has punched out 130 times. The Phillies as a unit have 1,271 base hits, including 229 doubles and 159 homers. They have 95 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 45 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 419 times this year and they have struck out 1,342 times. They've had 1,016 men left on base and have an OPS of .687. They score 3.79 runs per game and have totaled 599 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 74-82-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 74-85-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 78-72-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 82-76-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

09/29/16 1B Lucas Duda Back "?" Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/27/16 P Steven Matz Elbow 15-day DL (8/15); out for season
09/21/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Jon Niese Knee 60-day DL (8/24)
09/17/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out for season
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

09/28/16 RF Peter Bourjos Personal "?" Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/28/16 CF Roman Quinn Ribs out indefinitely
09/23/16 LF Tyler Goeddel Concussion out indefinitely
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn