Saturday, May 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Bartolo Colon vs. James Shields
The New York Mets visit Petco Park on Saturday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Bartolo Colon for the Mets and James Shields for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +135 and San Diego at -145. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 15-11-1 over/under record and a 13-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Padres are 17-12-0 against the run line and have a 14-14-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 17-10 record, including 8-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 28 strikeouts over his 31.2 innings pitched and he has given up 33 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.83. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.76 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 29 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.24 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.79. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 233 base hits and 75 earned runs. They have allowed 14 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 64 batters and struck out 248. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 2.62.
As a team, New York is batting .246, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Mets hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.22 hits per game. Neil Walker comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 29 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 6 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 28 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 17 times. The Mets have 222 hits, including 45 doubles and 42 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. New York has walked 93 times this season and they've struck out 222 times as a unit. They've left 189 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 7-9 home record and a 12-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.23, James Shields has a 1-4 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 39 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.31. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.17 and they have given up 98 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 90 times and walking 38 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.16 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 247 base knocks and 120 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 105 hitters and struck out 234. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Padres hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 35 hits this year along with 17 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 32 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .261 and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 30 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 30 times. The Padres as a unit have 229 base hits, including 47 doubles and 23 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. San Diego as a team has walked 77 times this year and they have struck out 275 times. They've had 183 men left on base and have an OPS of .658. They score 3.72 runs per game and have totaled 108 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 15-11-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 13-14-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 14-14-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 17-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
04/23/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres
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