Thursday, August 18, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Madison Bumgarner
The New York Mets visit AT&T Park on Thursday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Madison Bumgarner for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +135 and San Francisco at -145. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Mets have a 52-64-3 over/under record and a 52-67-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Giants are 54-65-0 against the run line and have a 56-59-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 60-59 record, including 29-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 129 strikeouts over his 133.1 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.99. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have given up 305 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen while being struck out 391 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.50. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,005 base hits and 410 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 307 batters and struck out 1,026. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.44.
As a team, New York is batting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Mets hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.89 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .255 and his on-base percentage is at .308. He has 95 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 22 times. Neil Walker is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 111 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 38 times and has struck out 82 times. The Mets have 939 hits, including 167 doubles and 154 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 363 times this season and they've struck out 979 times as a unit. They've left 807 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 445 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 33-25 home record and a 66-53 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.11, Madison Bumgarner has a 11-7 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 189 strikeouts over the 170.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 127 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 321 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 297 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 996 base knocks and 444 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 324 hitters and struck out 944. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.86.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Giants hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.89 hits per contest. Brandon Crawford comes into this matchup batting .269 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 111 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 71 RBI. He's struck out 88 times and has walked on 42 occasions. Buster Posey is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 111 hits so far while he's scored 63 runs and drove in 56. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 50 times. The Giants as a unit have 1,058 base hits, including 204 doubles and 98 homers. They have 62 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 439 times this year and they have struck out 822 times. They've had 888 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.44 runs per game and have totaled 528 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 52-64-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 52-67-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 56-59-4 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 54-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
08/16/16 2B Neil Walker Back "?" Wednesday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
08/03/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad 15-day DL (8/4)
08/02/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee 15-day DL (8/1)
08/02/16 CF Justin Ruggiano Hamstring 15-day DL (8/2)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Francisco Giants
08/02/16 RF Mac Williamson Shoulder 15-day DL (8/1)
07/29/16 P Josh Osich Forearm 15-day DL (7/24)
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks