Wednesday, September 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Robert Gsellman vs. Tanner Roark
The New York Mets visit Nationals Park on Wednesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Robert Gsellman for the Mets and Tanner Roark for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +171 and Washington at -181. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mets have a 66-75-3 over/under record and a 68-76-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Nationals are 72-72-0 against the run line and have a 67-69-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 76-68 record, including 38-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Robert Gsellman has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 17 strikeouts over his 20.2 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 405 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 477 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,241 base hits and 512 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 385 batters and struck out 1,219. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.
As a team, New York is batting .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Mets hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.12 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 125 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 95 times and has walked 28 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .291 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 120 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 96 times. The Mets have 1,169 hits, including 208 doubles and 196 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 444 times this season and they've struck out 1,167 times as a unit. They've left 976 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 3.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 572 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 45-27 home record and a 86-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.85, Tanner Roark has a 14-8 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 150 strikeouts over the 186.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 160 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 371 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 426 times and walking 141 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.07 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.42. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,119 base knocks and 495 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 409 hitters and struck out 1,314. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.57.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Nationals hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.72 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 178 hits this year along with 87 runs scored and 102 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Wilson Ramos is hitting .302 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 134 hits so far while he's scored 54 runs and drove in 75. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 70 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,256 base hits, including 242 doubles and 186 homers. They have 105 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 33 times. Washington as a team has walked 485 times this year and they have struck out 1,093 times. They've had 997 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.76 runs per game and have totaled 686 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 66-75-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 68-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 67-69-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 72-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
09/12/16 3B Wilmer Flores Neck "?" Tuesday vs. Washington Nationals
09/07/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out indefinitely
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
09/12/16 P Mat Latos Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
09/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (7/3)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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