Tuesday, May 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Chris Tillman
The New York Yankees visit Oriole Park on Tuesday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Luis Severino for the Yankees and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The Yankees have a 9-11-3 over/under record and a 9-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Orioles are 13-11-0 against the run line and have a 9-13-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 8-15 record, including 3-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.78. He has 12 strikeouts over his 19.2 innings pitched and he has given up 32 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.63. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 89 times and walking 18 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.18 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.79. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 212 base hits and 107 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 54 batters and struck out 205. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.76.
As a team, New York is batting .234, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .217 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .365 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.78 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .247 and his on-base percentage is at .295. He has 22 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 9 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 5 times. Mark Teixeira is hitting .225 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 18 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 21 times. The Yankees have 179 hits, including 25 doubles and 23 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. New York has walked 73 times this season and they've struck out 166 times as a unit. They've left 157 men on base and have a team OPS of .670. They score 3.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 81 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 9-3 home record and a 14-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.24, Chris Tillman has a 2-1 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 19 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.75. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.23 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 82 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.06 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 195 base knocks and 88 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 18 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 76 hitters and struck out 188. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.65.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .296 average at home. The Orioles hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.17 hits per contest. Chris Davis comes into this matchup batting .236 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 21 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 30 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .350 and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 35 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 16. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 18 times. The Orioles as a unit have 220 base hits, including 46 doubles and 34 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 74 times this year and they have struck out 196 times. They've had 156 men left on base and have an OPS of .787. They score 4.54 runs per game and have totaled 109 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 9-11-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 9-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 9-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 13-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
05/01/16 P Zach Britton Ankle out indefinitely
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees
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