Saturday, June 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Tyler Wilson
The New York Yankees visit Oriole Park on Saturday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Ivan Nova for the Yankees and Tyler Wilson for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +112 and Baltimore at -122. The over/under was set at 9. The Yankees have a 21-27-5 over/under record and a 23-30-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Orioles are 28-24-0 against the run line and have a 25-24-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 25-28 record, including 12-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 27 strikeouts over his 43 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.32. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 130 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen while being struck out 188 times and walking 47 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 451 base hits and 214 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 122 batters and struck out 460. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.
As a team, New York is batting .232, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.62 hits per game. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .270 and his on-base percentage is at .302. He has 51 hits this season along with 27 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 9 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 28 times. The Yankees have 404 hits, including 70 doubles and 52 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 158 times this season and they've struck out 376 times as a unit. They've left 338 men on base and have a team OPS of .669. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 198 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 19-10 home record and a 30-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.83, Tyler Wilson has a 2-4 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 49.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 46 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.79 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 160 times and walking 66 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.88 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 456 base knocks and 209 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 172 hitters and struck out 392. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Orioles hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .318 and he has an OBP of .386. He has 67 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 59 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 59 times. The Orioles as a unit have 461 base hits, including 99 doubles and 76 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 166 times this year and they have struck out 439 times. They've had 349 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 243 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 21-27-5 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 23-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 25-24-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 28-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29), out for season
05/26/16 P Chasen Shreve Shoulder 15-day DL (5/26)
05/25/16 C Gary Sanchez Thumb 15-day DL
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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