Saturday, September 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Kevin Gausman
The New York Yankees visit Oriole Park on Saturday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are CC Sabathia for the Yankees and Kevin Gausman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +150 and Baltimore at -160. The over/under was set at 9. The Yankees have a 59-64-9 over/under record and a 64-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Orioles are 67-66-0 against the run line and have a 59-71-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this matchup with a 69-63 record, including 32-35 on the road. Starting pitcher CC Sabathia has a 8-11 record with an earned run average of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 125 strikeouts over his 144 innings pitched and he has given up 140 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.15. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 329 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 471 times and walking 132 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.94 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,110 base hits and 547 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 337 batters and struck out 1,160. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, New York is batting .254, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.64 hits per game. Didi Gregorius comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 133 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 61 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 15 times. Brett Gardner is hitting .260 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 114 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 34. He has walked 57 times and has struck out 90 times. The Yankees have 1,140 hits, including 204 doubles and 148 home runs. They've stolen 61 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 376 times this season and they've struck out 957 times as a unit. They've left 895 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 567 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 43-24 home record and a 72-61 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.73, Kevin Gausman has a 6-10 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 140 strikeouts over the 140 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 425 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 181 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,189 base knocks and 584 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 159 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 460 hitters and struck out 1,007. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .267 average at home. The Orioles hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 160 hits this year along with 92 runs scored and 83 RBI. He's struck out 96 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 74 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 91 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,184 base hits, including 225 doubles and 209 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 376 times this year and they have struck out 1,087 times. They've had 868 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 624 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 59-64-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 64-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 59-71-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 67-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/01/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring out indefinitely
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
09/01/16 CF Adam Jones Hamstring "?" Friday vs. New York Yankees
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21)
08/19/16 P Dylan Bundy Ankle "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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