Tuesday, August 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Rick Porcello
The New York Yankees head to Fenway Park on Tuesday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Luis Severino for the Yankees and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has New York at +173 and Boston at -183. The over/under is 9.5. The Yankees have a 47-55-9 over/under mark and a 52-59-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Red Sox are 53-57-0 against the run line and have a 55-50-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Yankees head into this game with a 56-55 record, and they are 24-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 1-6 record with an ERA of 6.02 and a WHIP of 1.45. He has 37 strikeouts during his 43.1 innings pitched and he has given up 50 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.79. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have allowed 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the pen while they've been struck out 403 times and walked 103 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.62 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.94 hitters per nine. They are 15th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.23. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 936 base hits and 459 earned runs. They have allowed 146 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 289 batters and struck out 971. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
As a team, New York is hitting .249, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Yankees have a .391 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.34 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 104 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 34 times. Didi Gregorius is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 108 hits so far while scoring 46 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 51 times. The Yankees have 926 hits, including 162 doubles and 111 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 317 times this season and they've struck out 782 times as a unit. They've left 735 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 454 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 34-25 home mark and a 60-50 overall record. With an ERA of 3.46, Rick Porcello has a 14-3 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 119 strikeouts over the 143 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 130 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.77. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 288 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 350 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 952 base knocks and 464 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 343 hitters and struck out 915. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .283, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .302 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.98 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 146 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .317 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 144 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 37 times and has punched out 76 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,098 base hits, including 245 doubles and 139 homers. They have 65 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Boston as a team has walked 377 times this year and they have struck out 785 times. They've had 802 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They score 5.44 runs per game and have totaled 598 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 47-55-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 52-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 55-50-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 53-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Boston Red Sox
08/07/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Wrist "?" Tuesday vs NY Yankees
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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