Friday, September 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Luis Cessa vs. Clay Buchholz
The New York Yankees head to Fenway Park on Friday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Luis Cessa for the Yankees and Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has New York at +149 and Boston at -159. The over/under is 10. The Yankees have a 63-73-9 over/under mark and a 71-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Red Sox are 74-71-0 against the run line and have a 72-67-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Yankees head into this game with a 77-68 record, and they are 33-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Cessa has a 4-1 record with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 31 strikeouts during his 47.2 innings pitched and he has given up 42 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.2. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have allowed 367 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the pen while they've been struck out 531 times and walked 151 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.54 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.96 hitters per nine. They are 14th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.11. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,217 base hits and 585 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 374 batters and struck out 1,277. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team, New York is hitting .251, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Yankees have a .404 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .313 which is good for 25th in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this game hitting .259 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 125 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 99 times and has walked 62 times. Didi Gregorius is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .301. He has totaled 137 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 65. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 77 times. The Yankees have 1,225 hits, including 215 doubles and 166 home runs. They've stolen 63 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. New York has walked 420 times this season and they've struck out 1,062 times as a unit. They've left 972 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 610 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 42-32 home mark and a 81-64 overall record. With an ERA of 5.31, Clay Buchholz has a 6-10 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 120.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 119 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.38. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 447 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,207 base knocks and 583 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 437 hitters and struck out 1,208. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.06 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .297 and he has an OBP of .354. He has 176 hits this year along with 104 runs scored and 85 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 190 hits so far while he's scored 108 runs and drove in 104. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 80 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,459 base hits, including 319 doubles and 188 homers. They have 77 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Boston as a team has walked 493 times this year and they have struck out 1,054 times. They've had 1,046 men left on base and have an OPS of .818. They score 5.55 runs per game and have totaled 805 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 63-73-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 71-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 72-67-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 74-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/14/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique "?" Thursday vs. Boston Red Sox
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 15-day DL (9/3)
09/06/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring 15-day DL (9/1)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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