New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox 9-17-2016 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Tony Sink - 9/16/2016
Saturday, September 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Bryan Mitchell vs. David Price
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The New York Yankees visit Fenway Park on Saturday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Bryan Mitchell for the Yankees and David Price for the Red Sox. The Yankees have a 64-73-9 over/under record and a 71-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Red Sox are 75-71-0 against the run line and have a 73-67-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 77-69 record, including 33-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Bryan Mitchell has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.91. He has 4 strikeouts over his 7.1 innings pitched and he has given up 12 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 533 times and walking 153 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,226 base hits and 592 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 379 batters and struck out 1,279. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team, New York is batting .252, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.49 hits per game. Brett Gardner comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 125 hits this season along with 71 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 100 times and has walked 63 times. Didi Gregorius is hitting .274 and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 139 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 65. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 77 times. The Yankees have 1,239 hits, including 220 doubles and 166 home runs. They've stolen 66 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. New York has walked 423 times this season and they've struck out 1,070 times as a unit. They've left 984 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 615 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 43-32 home record and a 82-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.81, David Price has a 16-8 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 210 strikeouts over the 205.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 196 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.36. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 378 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 455 times and walking 170 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,221 base knocks and 587 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 440 hitters and struck out 1,216. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .302 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.05 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 176 hits this year along with 105 runs scored and 85 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .312 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 192 hits so far while he's scored 109 runs and drove in 105. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 80 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,468 base hits, including 321 doubles and 190 homers. They have 77 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Boston as a team has walked 498 times this year and they have struck out 1,056 times. They've had 1,054 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They score 5.56 runs per game and have totaled 812 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 64-73-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 71-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 73-67-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 75-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique expected to miss the rest of the regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 15-day DL (9/3)
09/06/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring 15-day DL (9/1)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees
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