Thursday, July 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Trevor Bauer
The New York Yankees head to Progressive Field on Thursday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Ivan Nova for the Yankees and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The opening line for this game has New York at +149 and Cleveland at -159. The over/under is 8.5. The Yankees have a 37-38-8 over/under mark and a 37-46-0 run line record, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Indians are 46-37-0 against the run line and have a 42-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this game with a 41-42 record, and they are 18-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 5-5 record with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 55 strikeouts during his 74.2 innings pitched and he has given up 86 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have allowed 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the pen while they've been struck out 303 times and walked 63 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.86 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.08 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.37. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 715 base hits and 353 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 192 batters and struck out 733. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.
As a team, New York is hitting .250, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .248 average on the road. The Yankees have a .397 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .312 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.39 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .341. He has 83 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 55 times and has walked 16 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 74 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 39 times. The Yankees have 696 hits, including 122 doubles and 89 home runs. They've stolen 43 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. New York has walked 240 times this season and they've struck out 567 times as a unit. They've left 553 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 4.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 346 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this game with a 25-12 home mark and a 51-32 overall record. With an ERA of 3.02, Trevor Bauer has a 7-2 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 95.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 78 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 233 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.88 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 660 base knocks and 297 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 242 hitters and struck out 709. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .293 average at home. The Indians hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.99 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .327. He has 86 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 95 hits so far while he's scored 54 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 48 times. The Indians as a unit have 746 base hits, including 146 doubles and 105 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 262 times this year and they have struck out 667 times. They've had 543 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They score 4.9 runs per game and have totaled 407 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 37-38-8 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 37-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 42-35-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 46-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Indians
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