Saturday, June 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Ricky Nolasco
The New York Yankees visit Target Field on Saturday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Michael Pineda for the Yankees and Ricky Nolasco for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -145 and Minnesota at +135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Yankees have a 25-34-7 over/under record and a 31-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Twins are 28-38-0 against the run line and have a 39-23-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this matchup with a 32-34 record, including 14-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 3-7 record with an earned run average of 5.88 and a WHIP of 1.51. He has 79 strikeouts over his 72 innings pitched and he has given up 90 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.07. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 238 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 569 base hits and 272 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 572. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.84.
As a team, New York is batting .243, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.08 hits per game. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .309. He has 62 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 12 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 61 hits so far while scoring 29 runs and he's driven in 22. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 32 times. The Yankees have 533 hits, including 95 doubles and 66 home runs. They've stolen 34 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 188 times this season and they've struck out 452 times as a unit. They've left 420 men on base and have a team OPS of .692. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 264 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 12-22 home record and a 20-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.12, Ricky Nolasco has a 3-4 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 68 strikeouts over the 77.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 87 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 253 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 230 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 672 base knocks and 337 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 507. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Twins hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.29 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .386. He has 67 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 41 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .316 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 33 runs and drove in 25. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 35 times. The Twins as a unit have 547 base hits, including 106 doubles and 69 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 205 times this year and they have struck out 578 times. They've had 472 men left on base and have an OPS of .698. They score 3.83 runs per game and have totaled 253 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 25-34-7 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 31-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 39-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 28-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
06/04/16 1B Mark Teixeira Knee 15-day DL (6/4)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
05/26/16 P Chasen Shreve Shoulder 15-day DL (5/26)
05/25/16 C Gary Sanchez Thumb 15-day DL
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees
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