Sunday, June 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. Ervin Santana
The New York Yankees head to Target Field on Sunday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this game has New York at -143 and Minnesota at +133. The over/under is 8.5. The Yankees have a 26-34-7 over/under mark and a 32-35-0 run line record, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Twins are 28-39-0 against the run line and have a 40-23-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this game with a 33-34 record, and they are 15-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has a 6-3 record with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 68 strikeouts during his 75.1 innings pitched and he has given up 82 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have allowed 166 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the pen while they've been struck out 238 times and walked 53 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.87 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.86 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.21. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 578 base hits and 274 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 577. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, New York is hitting .246, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Yankees have a .388 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .309 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.16 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .316. He has 65 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 12 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 62 hits so far while scoring 30 runs and he's driven in 22. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 32 times. The Yankees have 547 hits, including 98 doubles and 67 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 194 times this season and they've struck out 454 times as a unit. They've left 429 men on base and have a team OPS of .697. They score 4.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 272 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 12-23 home mark and a 20-47 overall record. With an ERA of 5.10, Ervin Santana has a 1-7 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 65.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 77 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.58. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 232 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.72 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.23. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 686 base knocks and 345 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 92 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 190 hitters and struck out 509. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Twins hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.3 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .384. He has 68 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 72 hits so far while he's scored 33 runs and drove in 25. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 35 times. The Twins as a unit have 556 base hits, including 107 doubles and 70 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 205 times this year and they have struck out 583 times. They've had 478 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They score 3.81 runs per game and have totaled 255 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 26-34-7 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 32-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 40-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 28-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
06/04/16 1B Mark Teixeira Knee 15-day DL (6/4)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
05/26/16 P Chasen Shreve Shoulder 15-day DL (5/26)
05/25/16 C Gary Sanchez Thumb 15-day DL
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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