Friday, July 1, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. Colin Rea
The New York Yankees visit Petco Park on Friday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees and Colin Rea for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -136 and San Diego at +126. The over/under was set at 8. The Yankees have a 33-36-8 over/under record and a 34-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Padres are 46-33-0 against the run line and have a 41-36-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 38-39 record, including 16-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has a 6-5 record with an earned run average of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 74 strikeouts over his 86.2 innings pitched and he has given up 94 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 287 times and walking 57 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.97 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 669 base hits and 334 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 176 batters and struck out 673. They walk 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team, New York is batting .249, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.31 hits per game. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 78 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 15 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 69 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 36 times. The Yankees have 640 hits, including 107 doubles and 81 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 222 times this season and they've struck out 520 times as a unit. They've left 501 men on base and have a team OPS of .704. They score 4.16 runs per contest and have scored a total of 320 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 18-24 home record and a 33-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.05, Colin Rea has a 4-3 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 76.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.28. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 272 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 284 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.39 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 706 base knocks and 364 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 305 hitters and struck out 661. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Padres hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.24 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 85 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 35 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 62 times. The Padres as a unit have 651 base hits, including 131 doubles and 84 homers. They have 60 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. San Diego as a team has walked 214 times this year and they have struck out 709 times. They've had 492 men left on base and have an OPS of .692. They score 4.29 runs per game and have totaled 339 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 33-36-8 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 34-43-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 41-36-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 46-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/30/16 RF Carlos Beltran Hamstring is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. Texas Rangers
06/30/16 2B Starlin Castro Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Texas Rangers
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
San Diego Padres
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. New York Yankees
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks