Monday, May 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Marco Estrada
The New York Yankees visit Rogers Centre on Monday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Ivan Nova for the Yankees and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +133 and Toronto at -143. The over/under was set at 9. The Yankees have a 21-23-4 over/under record and a 23-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Blue Jays are 26-25-0 against the run line and have a 19-29-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this matchup with a 23-25 record, including 10-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 23 strikeouts over his 37 innings pitched and he has given up 37 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.28. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 119 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 171 times and walking 40 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.91 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 407 base hits and 195 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 110 batters and struck out 418. They walk 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.
As a team, New York is batting .238, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.85 hits per game. Starlin Castro comes into this game hitting .251 and his on-base percentage is at .286. He has 46 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 34 times and has walked 8 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 25 times. The Yankees have 377 hits, including 64 doubles and 50 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 149 times this season and they've struck out 341 times as a unit. They've left 313 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 3.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 188 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 11-13 home record and a 26-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.76, Marco Estrada has a 2-2 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 58.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 39 hits. He has allowed 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.85. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 120 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 189 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 53 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 147 hitters and struck out 375. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 49 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .237 and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 48 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 409 base hits, including 88 doubles and 65 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Toronto as a team has walked 178 times this year and they have struck out 441 times. They've had 345 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 214 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 21-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 23-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-29-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 26-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
05/29/16 RF Carlos Beltran Shoulder is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
05/29/16 3B Chase Headley Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
05/26/16 P Chasen Shreve Shoulder 15-day DL (5/26)
05/25/16 C Gary Sanchez Thumb 15-day DL
05/14/16 P Luis Severino Tricep 15-day DL (5/14)
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Toronto Blue Jays
05/29/16 LF Michael Saunders Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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