Sunday, September 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Marco Estrada
The New York Yankees head to Rogers Centre on Sunday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable pitchers are Michael Pineda for the Yankees and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The Yankees have a 68-75-10 over/under mark and a 75-78-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Blue Jays are 76-77-0 against the run line and have a 62-85-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Yankees head into this game with a 79-74 record, and they are 35-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 6-11 record with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 195 strikeouts during his 165.2 innings pitched and he has given up 176 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.62. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have allowed 395 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the pen while they've been struck out 552 times and walked 160 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.20. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,293 base hits and 629 earned runs. They have allowed 204 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 399 batters and struck out 1,331. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.
As a team, New York is hitting .253, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .252 average on the road. The Yankees have a .406 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .314 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.54 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .307. He has 148 hits this season along with 65 runs scored and 67 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 19 times. Brett Gardner is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 132 hits so far while scoring 76 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 65 times and has struck out 103 times. The Yankees have 1,306 hits, including 234 doubles and 174 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. New York has walked 443 times this season and they've struck out 1,127 times as a unit. They've left 1,041 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 644 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this game with a 43-32 home mark and a 84-69 overall record. With an ERA of 3.62, Marco Estrada has a 9-9 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 154 strikeouts over the 164 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 124 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.18. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 424 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 451 times and walking 133 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.12 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,271 base knocks and 587 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 437 hitters and struck out 1,245. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.47 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 152 hits this year along with 97 runs scored and 124 RBI. He's struck out 133 times and has walked on 79 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .401. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 118 runs and drove in 96. He has earned a walk 102 times and has punched out 112 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,296 base hits, including 264 doubles and 215 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Toronto as a team has walked 586 times this year and they have struck out 1,295 times. They've had 1,048 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They score 4.78 runs per game and have totaled 731 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 68-75-10 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 75-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 62-85-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 76-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/22/16 P Masahiro Tanaka Forearm expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs Toronto Blue Jays
09/19/16 2B Starlin Castro Hamstring out indefinitely
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique expected to miss the rest of the regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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