Monday, September 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. J.A. Happ
The New York Yankees visit Rogers Centre on Monday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Luis Severino for the Yankees and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays. The Yankees have a 68-76-10 over/under record and a 75-79-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Blue Jays are 77-77-0 against the run line and have a 62-86-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 79-75 record, including 35-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 3-8 record with an earned run average of 5.70 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 62 strikeouts over his 66.1 innings pitched and he has given up 72 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.22. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 397 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen while being struck out 552 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,299 base hits and 632 earned runs. They have allowed 205 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 404 batters and struck out 1,333. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.
As a team, New York is batting .252, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.5 hits per game. Didi Gregorius comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .306. He has 148 hits this season along with 65 runs scored and 67 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 19 times. Brett Gardner is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 133 hits so far while scoring 76 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 66 times and has struck out 103 times. The Yankees have 1,309 hits, including 234 doubles and 174 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. New York has walked 446 times this season and they've struck out 1,134 times as a unit. They've left 1,044 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 644 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 44-32 home record and a 85-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.28, J.A. Happ has a 20-4 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 160 strikeouts over the 181.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 158 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.92. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 426 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 453 times and walking 133 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.12 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,274 base knocks and 587 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 440 hitters and struck out 1,252. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 153 hits this year along with 98 runs scored and 124 RBI. He's struck out 133 times and has walked on 81 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 157 hits so far while he's scored 119 runs and drove in 96. He has earned a walk 102 times and has punched out 113 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,302 base hits, including 265 doubles and 216 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Toronto as a team has walked 591 times this year and they have struck out 1,297 times. They've had 1,054 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.77 runs per game and have totaled 734 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 68-76-10 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 75-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 62-86-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 77-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/22/16 P Masahiro Tanaka Forearm expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs Toronto Blue Jays
09/19/16 2B Starlin Castro Hamstring out indefinitely
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique out for regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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