Thursday, July 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Julio Teheran
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Turner Field on Thursday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at -123 and Atlanta at +113. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 47-53-2 over/under record and a 51-51-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 45-55-0 against the run line and have a 43-50-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 46-56 record, including 23-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 116 strikeouts over his 106 innings pitched and he has given up 108 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.05. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 314 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 895 base hits and 427 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 268 batters and struck out 848. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.95 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 91 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 28 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 108 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 81 times. The Phillies have 811 hits, including 146 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Philadelphia has walked 237 times this season and they've struck out 818 times as a unit. They've left 624 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 361 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 14-36 home record and a 34-66 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.71, Julio Teheran has a 3-8 record and a 0.96 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 129.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 96 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 334 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 337 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 876 base knocks and 442 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 342 hitters and struck out 769. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Braves hold a .349 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .272 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 102 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 36 RBI. He's struck out 115 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 97 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 49. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 61 times. The Braves as a unit have 808 base hits, including 163 doubles and 62 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 284 times this year and they have struck out 766 times. They've had 706 men left on base and have an OPS of .651. They score 3.37 runs per game and have totaled 337 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 47-53-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 51-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 43-50-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 45-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/27/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder is downgraded to expected to miss Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/26/16 P Julio Teheran Back expected to start Saturday vs Philadelphia Phillies
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies
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