Friday, July 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Tyrell Jenkins
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Turner Field on Friday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies and Tyrell Jenkins for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at -159 and Atlanta at +149. The over/under is 8.5. The Phillies have a 48-53-2 over/under mark and a 51-52-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 46-55-0 against the run line and have a 44-50-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this game with a 46-57 record, and they are 23-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a 8-2 record with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 103 strikeouts during his 91.2 innings pitched and he has given up 84 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have allowed 323 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the pen while they've been struck out 317 times and walked 122 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 9.01 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.33. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 911 base hits and 438 earned runs. They have allowed 125 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 275 batters and struck out 852. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .240, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .260 average on the road. The Phillies have a .384 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .294 which is good for 30th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.97 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .260 and his on-base percentage is at .316. He has 93 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 28 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 110 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 81 times. The Phillies have 821 hits, including 147 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Philadelphia has walked 240 times this season and they've struck out 824 times as a unit. They've left 634 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 362 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 14-36 home mark and a 35-66 overall record. With an ERA of 6.17, Tyrell Jenkins has a 0-2 record and a 1.89 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 23.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.73. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 335 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 343 times and walking 163 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.68 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 889 base knocks and 448 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 113 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 343 hitters and struck out 778. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Braves hold a .353 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.16 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 106 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 115 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 98 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 63 times. The Braves as a unit have 824 base hits, including 169 doubles and 64 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 287 times this year and they have struck out 776 times. They've had 714 men left on base and have an OPS of .656. They score 3.43 runs per game and have totaled 346 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-53-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 51-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 44-50-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 46-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/27/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder "?" Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/26/16 P Julio Teheran Back expected to start Saturday vs Philadelphia Phillies
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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