Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Julio Teheran
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +118 and Atlanta at -128. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Phillies have a 49-53-2 over/under record and a 52-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 46-56-0 against the run line and have a 45-50-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 47-57 record, including 24-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 7-7 record with an earned run average of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 107 strikeouts over his 125.2 innings pitched and he has given up 113 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 328 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 320 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.42 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 924 base hits and 443 earned runs. They have allowed 125 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 282 batters and struck out 860. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .240, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.99 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .259 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 94 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 72 times and has walked 28 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 111 hits so far while scoring 57 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 82 times. The Phillies have 830 hits, including 147 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Philadelphia has walked 243 times this season and they've struck out 831 times as a unit. They've left 640 men on base and have a team OPS of .679. They score 3.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 369 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 14-37 home record and a 35-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.71, Julio Teheran has a 3-8 record and a 0.96 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 129.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 96 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 338 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 347 times and walking 164 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 899 base knocks and 454 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 346 hitters and struck out 785. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Braves hold a .354 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.21 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 108 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 115 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 99 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 47 times and has punched out 65 times. The Braves as a unit have 837 base hits, including 171 doubles and 64 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 294 times this year and they have struck out 784 times. They've had 728 men left on base and have an OPS of .659. They score 3.44 runs per game and have totaled 351 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-53-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 45-50-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 46-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/28/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder 15-day DL (7/27)
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/26/16 P Julio Teheran Back expected to start Saturday vs Philadelphia Phillies
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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