Wednesday, September 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan vs. Mike Foltynewicz
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Turner Field on Wednesday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Adam Morgan for the Phillies and Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at +125 and Atlanta at -135. The over/under is 8.5. The Phillies have a 76-72-8 over/under mark and a 81-75-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Braves are 81-74-0 against the run line and have a 80-66-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Phillies head into this game with a 70-86 record, and they are 34-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Morgan has a 2-10 record with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 91 strikeouts during his 108.1 innings pitched and he has given up 131 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.93. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have allowed 523 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the pen while they've been struck out 496 times and walked 204 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 9.16 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.14 hitters per nine. They are 26th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.56. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,410 base hits and 703 earned runs. They have allowed 207 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 447 batters and struck out 1,254. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .240, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Phillies have a .386 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .300 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.03 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .369. He has 154 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 64 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 161 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 62 times and has struck out 127 times. The Phillies have 1,253 hits, including 224 doubles and 158 home runs. They've stolen 92 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 45 times. Philadelphia has walked 411 times this season and they've struck out 1,324 times as a unit. They've left 999 men on base and have a team OPS of .687. They score 3.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 591 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 26-49 home mark and a 63-92 overall record. With an ERA of 4.41, Mike Foltynewicz has a 8-5 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 118.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 123 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 520 times and walking 250 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.54 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,363 base knocks and 706 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 171 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 532 hitters and struck out 1,167. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Braves hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.74 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .271 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 158 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 68 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 174 hits so far while he's scored 96 runs and drove in 87. He has earned a walk 86 times and has punched out 165 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,354 base hits, including 288 doubles and 114 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 483 times this year and they have struck out 1,190 times. They've had 1,124 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They score 3.98 runs per game and have totaled 617 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-72-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 81-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 80-66-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 81-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/23/16 LF Tyler Goeddel Concussion out indefinitely
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
09/27/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Calf is upgraded to expected to start Wednesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 P Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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