Thursday, September 29, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Josh Collmenter
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Turner Field on Thursday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Josh Collmenter for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at +120 and Atlanta at -130. The over/under is 8.5. The Phillies have a 77-72-8 over/under mark and a 82-75-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Braves are 81-75-0 against the run line and have a 81-66-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Phillies head into this game with a 70-87 record, and they are 34-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 12-10 record with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 150 strikeouts during his 185.2 innings pitched and he has given up 172 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.03. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.97 and they have allowed 532 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the pen while they've been struck out 498 times and walked 207 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 9.17 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.14 hitters per nine. They are 26th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.58. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,420 base hits and 710 earned runs. They have allowed 209 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 450 batters and struck out 1,261. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .240, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .251 average on the road. The Phillies have a .387 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .301 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.07 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .371. He has 156 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 113 times and has walked 64 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 163 hits so far while scoring 86 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 62 times and has struck out 129 times. The Phillies have 1,267 hits, including 228 doubles and 159 home runs. They've stolen 95 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 45 times. Philadelphia has walked 415 times this season and they've struck out 1,334 times as a unit. They've left 1,011 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 597 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 27-49 home mark and a 64-92 overall record. With an ERA of 4.19, Josh Collmenter has a 3-0 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 29 strikeouts over the 34.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 524 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 527 times and walking 252 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,378 base knocks and 712 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 536 hitters and struck out 1,177. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Braves hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.74 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .270 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 159 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 88 RBI. He's struck out 99 times and has walked on 68 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 176 hits so far while he's scored 99 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 87 times and has punched out 165 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,364 base hits, including 289 doubles and 116 homers. They have 72 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 486 times this year and they have struck out 1,197 times. They've had 1,130 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 624 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 77-72-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 82-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 81-66-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 81-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/23/16 LF Tyler Goeddel Concussion out indefinitely
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 P Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks