Tuesday, May 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Justin Verlander
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Comerica Park on Tuesday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +145 and Detroit at -155. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Phillies have a 18-24-2 over/under record and a 23-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Tigers are 25-18-0 against the run line and have a 28-13-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 25-19 record, including 12-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 50 strikeouts over his 49.2 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 125 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 138 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.89 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 345 base hits and 160 earned runs. They have allowed 49 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 128 batters and struck out 388. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.75.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .233, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.57 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .325 and his on-base percentage is at .439. He has 50 hits this season along with 26 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 31 times and has walked 31 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .247 and he has an on-base percentage of .290. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 32 times. The Phillies have 333 hits, including 59 doubles and 32 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Philadelphia has walked 111 times this season and they've struck out 342 times as a unit. They've left 266 men on base and have a team OPS of .651. They score 3.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 142 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 10-10 home record and a 21-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.58, Justin Verlander has a 3-4 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 57 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 133 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 101 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.33 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 391 base knocks and 189 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 137 hitters and struck out 311. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .268 average at home. The Tigers hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.16 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .340 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 52 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 36 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .313 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 29 times. The Tigers as a unit have 394 base hits, including 68 doubles and 56 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Detroit as a team has walked 120 times this year and they have struck out 376 times. They've had 293 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They score 4.6 runs per game and have totaled 198 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-24-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 28-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 25-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
05/22/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Groin "?" for next scheduled start
05/22/16 1B Miguel Cabrera Knee left last game, "?" Monday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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