Monday, August 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Zach Eflin vs. Brandon McCarthy
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Dodger Stadium on Monday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Zach Eflin for the Phillies and Brandon McCarthy for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +190 and Los Angeles at -205. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 54-56-2 over/under record and a 57-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Dodgers are 50-60-0 against the run line and have a 53-49-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 51-61 record, including 26-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Zach Eflin has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 31 strikeouts over his 60.1 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.84. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 361 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen while being struck out 344 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.25 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,005 base hits and 480 earned runs. They have allowed 132 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 305 batters and struck out 909. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .239, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.97 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .305. He has 101 hits this season along with 45 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 29 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 115 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 51 times and has struck out 86 times. The Phillies have 892 hits, including 161 doubles and 110 home runs. They've stolen 60 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 32 times. Philadelphia has walked 277 times this season and they've struck out 895 times as a unit. They've left 696 men on base and have a team OPS of .679. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 412 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 34-21 home record and a 61-49 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.76, Brandon McCarthy has a 2-2 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 29.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 16 hits. He has allowed 4.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.07. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 278 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 383 times and walking 127 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.28 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 824 base knocks and 397 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 108 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 301 hitters and struck out 1,033. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.50.
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.14 hits per contest. Corey Seager comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 129 hits this year along with 71 runs scored and 52 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 36 occasions. Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 110 hits so far while he's scored 42 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 83 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 920 base hits, including 186 doubles and 121 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 365 times this year and they have struck out 879 times. They've had 752 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They score 4.33 runs per game and have totaled 476 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 54-56-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 57-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 53-49-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 50-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 15-day DL (7/29)
07/28/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder 15-day DL (7/27)
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Los Angeles Dodgers
08/07/16 P Rich Hill Finger 15-day DL (7/20), expected to be activated & start Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
08/05/16 P Bud Norris Back 15-day DL (8/1)
08/04/16 P Adam Liberatore Elbow 15-day DL (8/3)
08/04/16 P Louis Coleman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/3)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Casey Fien Elbow 15-day DL (7/17)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 15-day DL (7/10)
06/30/16 P Clayton Kershaw Back 60-day DL (6/27)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 60-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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