Tuesday, August 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Kenta Maeda
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Dodger Stadium on Tuesday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies and Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +180 and Los Angeles at -190. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Phillies have a 55-56-2 over/under record and a 58-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Dodgers are 50-61-0 against the run line and have a 53-50-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 52-61 record, including 27-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a 8-3 record with an earned run average of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 114 strikeouts over his 102.2 innings pitched and he has given up 94 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.47. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 361 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 348 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.25 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,010 base hits and 484 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 307 batters and struck out 918. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.03 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .250 and his on-base percentage is at .304. He has 101 hits this season along with 45 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 30 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 118 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 51 times and has struck out 87 times. The Phillies have 906 hits, including 163 doubles and 111 home runs. They've stolen 61 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 32 times. Philadelphia has walked 278 times this season and they've struck out 904 times as a unit. They've left 705 men on base and have a team OPS of .681. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 418 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 35-21 home record and a 62-49 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.22, Kenta Maeda has a 10-7 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 125 strikeouts over the 125.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 102 hits. He has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have given up 282 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 393 times and walking 128 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.25 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 830 base knocks and 402 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 108 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 307 hitters and struck out 1,043. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.50.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.1 hits per contest. Corey Seager comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .355. He has 129 hits this year along with 71 runs scored and 52 RBI. He's struck out 90 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .291 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 113 hits so far while he's scored 45 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 83 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 929 base hits, including 188 doubles and 124 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 371 times this year and they have struck out 884 times. They've had 759 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.36 runs per game and have totaled 484 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 55-56-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 58-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 53-50-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 50-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 15-day DL (7/29)
07/28/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder 15-day DL (7/27)
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Los Angeles Dodgers
08/07/16 P Rich Hill Finger 15-day DL (7/20), expected to be activated & start Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
08/05/16 P Bud Norris Back 15-day DL (8/1)
08/04/16 P Adam Liberatore Elbow 15-day DL (8/3)
08/04/16 P Louis Coleman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/3)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Casey Fien Elbow 15-day DL (7/17)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
06/30/16 P Clayton Kershaw Back 60-day DL (6/27)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 60-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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