Friday, May 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Wei-Yin Chen
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Marlins Park on Friday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +130 and Miami at -140. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Phillies have a 12-15-2 over/under record and a 17-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Marlins are 14-12-0 against the run line and have a 16-10-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 16-13 record, including 8-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 1.44 and a WHIP of 0.89. He has 39 strikeouts over his 31.1 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.46. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen while being struck out 100 times and walking 40 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.82 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 216 base hits and 107 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 81 batters and struck out 274. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.71.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .226, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .284 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.29 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .243 and his on-base percentage is at .295. He has 25 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 21 times and has walked 7 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .319 and he has an on-base percentage of .454. He has totaled 30 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 18 times. The Phillies have 204 hits, including 40 doubles and 24 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Philadelphia has walked 71 times this season and they've struck out 235 times as a unit. They've left 159 men on base and have a team OPS of .647. They score 3.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 90 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 4-7 home record and a 14-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.26, Wei-Yin Chen has a 2-1 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 29 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 85 times and walking 36 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.11 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 221 base knocks and 111 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 103 hitters and struck out 209. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 3.89.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Marlins hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.58 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 23 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .450. He has collected 30 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 18 times. The Marlins as a unit have 249 base hits, including 44 doubles and 25 homers. They have 10 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Miami as a team has walked 81 times this year and they have struck out 196 times. They've had 201 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They score 4.15 runs per game and have totaled 108 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-15-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 16-10-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 14-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
05/05/16 1B Justin Bour Finger is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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