Tuesday, September 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan vs. Jose Urena
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Marlins Park on Tuesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Adam Morgan for the Phillies and Jose Urena for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +156 and Miami at -166. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Phillies have a 68-64-4 over/under record and a 68-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 67-70-0 against the run line and have a 71-64-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 60-76 record, including 30-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Morgan has a 1-9 record with an earned run average of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.52. He has 72 strikeouts over his 87 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.46. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 452 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 425 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,238 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 183 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 379 batters and struck out 1,112. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .277 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 137 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 56 times. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 127 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 35. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 95 times. The Phillies have 1,078 hits, including 198 doubles and 136 home runs. They've stolen 75 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 35 times. Philadelphia has walked 339 times this season and they've struck out 1,117 times as a unit. They've left 851 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 500 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 33-32 home record and a 68-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.40, Jose Urena has a 3-5 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 60 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 394 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 466 times and walking 217 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,145 base knocks and 536 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 124 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 505 hitters and struck out 1,166. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Marlins hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.24 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .316 and he has an OBP of .370. He has 164 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 151 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 85. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 119 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,266 base hits, including 231 doubles and 112 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Miami as a team has walked 387 times this year and they have struck out 1,037 times. They've had 1,011 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 564 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-64-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 71-64-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 67-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
09/04/16 CF Marcell Ozuna Wrist "?" Monday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/31/16 P David Phelps Oblique 15-day DL (8/30)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies
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