Wednesday, September 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Andrew Cashner
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Andrew Cashner for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +123 and Miami at -133. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 68-64-5 over/under record and a 69-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 67-71-0 against the run line and have a 71-64-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 61-76 record, including 31-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 137 strikeouts over his 160 innings pitched and he has given up 150 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 452 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 428 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,244 base hits and 611 earned runs. They have allowed 183 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 379 batters and struck out 1,119. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 138 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 113 times and has walked 57 times. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 128 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 95 times. The Phillies have 1,086 hits, including 198 doubles and 137 home runs. They've stolen 77 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 37 times. Philadelphia has walked 342 times this season and they've struck out 1,125 times as a unit. They've left 855 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 506 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 33-33 home record and a 68-70 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.00, Andrew Cashner has a 4-11 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 111.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 117 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 399 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 468 times and walking 218 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,153 base knocks and 541 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 508 hitters and struck out 1,174. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Marlins hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .369. He has 165 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 151 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 85. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 119 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,272 base hits, including 232 doubles and 112 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Miami as a team has walked 387 times this year and they have struck out 1,044 times. They've had 1,015 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 566 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-64-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 71-64-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 67-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
09/06/16 SS Miguel Rojas Groin "?" Tuesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/05/16 CF Marcell Ozuna Wrist "?" Tuesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/31/16 P David Phelps Oblique 15-day DL (8/30)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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