Tuesday, June 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Tyler Duffey
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Target Field on Tuesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at -116 and Minnesota at +106. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Phillies have a 33-35-2 over/under record and a 31-39-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Twins are 30-39-0 against the run line and have a 42-23-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 30-40 record, including 14-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 93 strikeouts over his 84.2 innings pitched and he has given up 77 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.06. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 221 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen while being struck out 227 times and walking 94 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.87 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 612 base hits and 297 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 203 batters and struck out 610. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .225, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .279 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.29 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .400. He has 75 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 53 times and has walked 39 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .236 and he has an on-base percentage of .281. He has totaled 57 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 51 times. The Phillies have 510 hits, including 91 doubles and 60 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Philadelphia has walked 161 times this season and they've struck out 561 times as a unit. They've left 396 men on base and have a team OPS of .639. They score 3.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 220 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 13-24 home record and a 21-48 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.56, Tyler Duffey has a 2-6 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 56.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 73 hits. He has allowed 11.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 264 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 237 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.23. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 705 base knocks and 355 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 192 hitters and struck out 523. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.48.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Twins hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.35 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 68 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 46 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 76 hits so far while he's scored 33 runs and drove in 25. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 35 times. The Twins as a unit have 576 base hits, including 110 doubles and 75 homers. They have 46 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 207 times this year and they have struck out 602 times. They've had 486 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They score 3.88 runs per game and have totaled 268 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 33-35-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 31-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 42-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 30-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 P Vincent Velasqez Bicep 15-day DL (6/9)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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