Saturday, August 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Noah Syndergaard
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field on Saturday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +212 and New York at -230. The over/under was set at 7. The Phillies have a 64-59-4 over/under record and a 65-62-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 56-71-0 against the run line and have a 59-65-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 59-68 record, including 29-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 127 strikeouts over his 150 innings pitched and he has given up 138 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 418 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen while being struck out 400 times and walking 151 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.28 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,155 base hits and 566 earned runs. They have allowed 168 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 348 batters and struck out 1,036. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .242, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.12 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 124 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 89 times and has walked 39 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 130 hits so far while scoring 66 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 56 times and has struck out 104 times. The Phillies have 1,031 hits, including 183 doubles and 131 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Philadelphia has walked 321 times this season and they've struck out 1,031 times as a unit. They've left 810 men on base and have a team OPS of .690. They score 3.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 479 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 31-30 home record and a 64-63 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.61, Noah Syndergaard has a 11-7 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 177 strikeouts over the 148 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 140 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 352 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 416 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,102 base knocks and 459 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 336 hitters and struck out 1,084. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.59.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Mets hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 104 hits this year along with 53 runs scored and 64 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .262 and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 43 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 86 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,021 base hits, including 184 doubles and 165 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 384 times this year and they have struck out 1,038 times. They've had 859 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 3.83 runs per game and have totaled 487 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-59-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-62-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 59-65-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 56-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
New York Mets
08/26/16 P Seth Lugo Leg "?" for next scheduled start
08/25/16 RF Jay Bruce Calf "?" Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
08/22/16 2B Neil Walker Personal expected to miss series vs. St. Louis Cardinals
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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