Sunday, August 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Robert Gsellman
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Citi Field on Sunday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Vince Velasquez for the Phillies and Robert Gsellman for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at +123 and New York at -133. The over/under is 8. The Phillies have a 65-59-4 over/under mark and a 65-63-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 57-71-0 against the run line and have a 60-65-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this game with a 59-69 record, and they are 29-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 8-6 record with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 137 strikeouts during his 119 innings pitched and he has given up 119 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.06. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have allowed 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the pen while they've been struck out 404 times and walked 152 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 9.25 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.32 hitters per nine. They are 25th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.56. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,166 base hits and 575 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 351 batters and struck out 1,048. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .253 average on the road. The Phillies have a .390 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .299 which is good for 30th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 125 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 89 times and has walked 39 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 132 hits so far while scoring 67 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 56 times and has struck out 105 times. The Phillies have 1,038 hits, including 186 doubles and 131 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Philadelphia has walked 324 times this season and they've struck out 1,039 times as a unit. They've left 816 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 3.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 483 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 32-30 home mark and a 65-63 overall record. With an ERA of 0.00, Robert Gsellman has a 1-0 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 3.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 2 hits. He has allowed 4.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 418 times and walking 151 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,109 base knocks and 463 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 339 hitters and struck out 1,092. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Mets hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 106 hits this year along with 53 runs scored and 64 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .264 and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 45 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 86 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,032 base hits, including 187 doubles and 169 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 387 times this year and they have struck out 1,050 times. They've had 862 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 3.88 runs per game and have totaled 496 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-59-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-63-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 60-65-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 57-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
New York Mets
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/26/16 P Jacob deGrom Rest expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs Miami Marlins
08/26/16 P Seth Lugo Leg "?" for next scheduled start
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets
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