Friday, September 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Steven Matz
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field on Friday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Steven Matz for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +152 and New York at -162. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Phillies have a 72-72-8 over/under record and a 79-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Mets are 70-82-0 against the run line and have a 68-81-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 69-83 record, including 33-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 12-9 record with an earned run average of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 149 strikeouts over his 181.1 innings pitched and he has given up 165 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 499 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 473 times and walking 189 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.13 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,364 base hits and 664 earned runs. They have allowed 200 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 424 batters and struck out 1,220. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .239, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.99 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .288 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 156 hits this season along with 82 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 122 times and has walked 60 times. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .291 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 149 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 57 times and has struck out 109 times. The Phillies have 1,214 hits, including 223 doubles and 151 home runs. They've stolen 88 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 44 times. Philadelphia has walked 392 times this season and they've struck out 1,283 times as a unit. They've left 965 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 568 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 41-36 home record and a 80-72 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.40, Steven Matz has a 9-8 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 129 strikeouts over the 132.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 129 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 516 times and walking 172 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.54. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,306 base knocks and 534 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 409 hitters and struck out 1,305. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.54.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Mets hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .278 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 134 hits this year along with 61 runs scored and 52 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 126 hits so far while he's scored 65 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 102 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,231 base hits, including 218 doubles and 205 homers. They have 41 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. New York as a team has walked 471 times this year and they have struck out 1,228 times. They've had 1,040 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 3.91 runs per game and have totaled 595 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 72-72-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 79-73-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 68-81-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 70-82-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/22/16 LF Tyler Goeddel Concussion "?" Thursday vs. New York Mets
09/21/16 1B Ryan Howard Knee "?" Thursday vs. New York Mets
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
New York Mets
09/21/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15); expected to start Friday vs Philadelphia Phillies
09/21/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Jon Niese Knee 60-day DL (8/24)
09/17/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out for season
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies
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