Sunday, September 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Thompson vs. Robert Gsellman
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field on Sunday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jake Thompson for the Phillies and Robert Gsellman for the Mets. The Phillies have a 74-72-8 over/under record and a 80-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Mets are 71-83-0 against the run line and have a 70-81-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 69-85 record, including 33-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Thompson has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 5.62 and a WHIP of 1.47. He has 31 strikeouts over his 49.2 innings pitched and he has given up 48 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.93. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.65 and they have given up 508 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 485 times and walking 193 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.16 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 1,385 base hits and 682 earned runs. They have allowed 204 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 433 batters and struck out 1,241. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .239, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.01 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 158 hits this season along with 83 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 125 times and has walked 61 times. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 152 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 38. He has walked 61 times and has struck out 109 times. The Phillies have 1,233 hits, including 224 doubles and 156 home runs. They've stolen 90 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 44 times. Philadelphia has walked 404 times this season and they've struck out 1,300 times as a unit. They've left 984 men on base and have a team OPS of .686. They score 3.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 581 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 43-36 home record and a 82-72 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.13, Robert Gsellman has a 2-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 32 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.07. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 441 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 528 times and walking 181 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,325 base knocks and 547 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 146 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 421 hitters and struck out 1,322. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 138 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 100 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 130 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 83. He has earned a walk 47 times and has punched out 104 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,252 base hits, including 223 doubles and 209 homers. They have 41 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. New York as a team has walked 480 times this year and they have struck out 1,249 times. They've had 1,052 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 3.99 runs per game and have totaled 614 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 74-72-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 80-74-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 70-81-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 71-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/23/16 LF Tyler Goeddel Concussion out indefinitely
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
New York Mets
09/24/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee "?" Saturday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/23/16 P Noah Syndergaard Strep Throat expected to miss start Saturday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/21/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
09/21/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Jon Niese Knee 60-day DL (8/24)
09/17/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out for season
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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