Friday, July 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Zach Eflin vs. Gerrit Cole
The Philadelphia Phillies head to PNC Park on Friday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are Zach Eflin for the Phillies and Gerrit Cole for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at +185 and Pittsburgh at -200. The over/under is 8. The Phillies have a 44-50-2 over/under mark and a 48-48-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Pirates are 46-48-0 against the run line and have a 55-38-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this game with a 44-52 record, and they are 21-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Zach Eflin has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 20 strikeouts during his 41.1 innings pitched and he has given up 42 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.65. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have allowed 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the pen while they've been struck out 301 times and walked 116 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 8.97 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.25. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 848 base hits and 402 earned runs. They have allowed 121 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 804. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .260 average on the road. The Phillies have a .387 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .293 which is good for 30th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.96 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .309. He has 88 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 69 times and has walked 25 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 75 times. The Phillies have 764 hits, including 140 doubles and 93 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Philadelphia has walked 221 times this season and they've struck out 763 times as a unit. They've left 576 men on base and have a team OPS of .680. They score 3.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 342 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 25-21 home mark and a 48-46 overall record. With an ERA of 3.11, Gerrit Cole has a 5-5 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 72.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 77 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 319 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 284 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 866 base knocks and 409 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 335 hitters and struck out 684. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .272 average at home. The Pirates hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.05 hits per contest. Gregory Polanco comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 87 hits this year along with 51 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 73 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 74 times. The Pirates as a unit have 851 base hits, including 172 doubles and 89 homers. They have 73 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 306 times this year and they have struck out 797 times. They've had 691 men left on base and have an OPS of .740. They score 4.62 runs per game and have totaled 434 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-50-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-48-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 55-38-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 46-48-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/20/16 P Jameson Taillon Head "?" for next scheduled start
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates
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