Sunday, July 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Jameson Taillon
The Philadelphia Phillies visit PNC Park on Sunday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies and Jameson Taillon for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +139 and Pittsburgh at -149. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 45-51-2 over/under record and a 49-49-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Pirates are 47-49-0 against the run line and have a 55-40-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 45-53 record, including 22-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a 8-2 record with an earned run average of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 98 strikeouts over his 85.2 innings pitched and he has given up 77 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.45. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 307 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 305 times and walking 116 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.49 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 867 base hits and 410 earned runs. They have allowed 122 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 820. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .261 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.94 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .310. He has 89 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 25 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 76 times. The Phillies have 778 hits, including 143 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 43 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Philadelphia has walked 224 times this season and they've struck out 776 times as a unit. They've left 589 men on base and have a team OPS of .679. They score 3.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 349 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 26-22 home record and a 49-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.44, Jameson Taillon has a 2-1 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 34 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 286 times and walking 138 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.32 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 882 base knocks and 415 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 337 hitters and struck out 706. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .271 average at home. The Pirates hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.01 hits per contest. Gregory Polanco comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 89 hits this year along with 53 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 73 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 75 times. The Pirates as a unit have 866 base hits, including 174 doubles and 90 homers. They have 73 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 309 times this year and they have struck out 806 times. They've had 700 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.57 runs per game and have totaled 439 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-51-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 55-40-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 47-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/22/16 P Jameson Taillon Head expected to start Sunday vs Philadelphia Phillies
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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