Sunday, June 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Johnny Cueto
The Philadelphia Phillies visit AT&T Park on Sunday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Johnny Cueto for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +245 and San Francisco at -270. The over/under was set at 7. The Phillies have a 37-36-2 over/under record and a 34-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Giants are 39-36-0 against the run line and have a 37-37-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 31-44 record, including 15-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 95 strikeouts over his 87.2 innings pitched and he has given up 84 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.12. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 241 times and walking 99 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 663 base hits and 324 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 213 batters and struck out 640. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .231, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.52 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 80 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 41 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .239 and he has an on-base percentage of .298. He has totaled 61 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 52 times. The Phillies have 564 hits, including 102 doubles and 68 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Philadelphia has walked 177 times this season and they've struck out 589 times as a unit. They've left 433 men on base and have a team OPS of .658. They score 3.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 247 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 23-13 home record and a 48-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.06, Johnny Cueto has a 11-1 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 109.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 87 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.45. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 197 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 626 base knocks and 256 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 189 hitters and struck out 584. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.60.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Giants hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.89 hits per contest. Brandon Belt comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .410. He has 75 hits this year along with 38 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 51 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Hunter Pence is hitting .298 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 39 times. The Giants as a unit have 667 base hits, including 124 doubles and 62 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 269 times this year and they have struck out 489 times. They've had 536 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 346 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-36-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 34-41-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 37-37-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 39-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/24/16 1B Tommy Joseph Illness "?" Saturday vs. San Francisco Giants
06/10/16 P Vincent Velasqez Bicep 15-day DL (6/9), expected to be activated & start Monday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
San Francisco Giants
06/21/16 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 15-day DL (6/19)
06/15/16 P Matt Cain Hamstring 15-day DL (6/14)
06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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