Tuesday, April 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Max Scherzer
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Nationals Park on Tuesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies and Max Scherzer for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +190 and Washington at -205. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Phillies have a 10-9-0 over/under record and a 9-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Nationals are 11-7-0 against the run line and have a 7-10-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 61% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 9-10 record, including 4-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 0.93 and a WHIP of 0.72. He has 29 strikeouts over his 19.1 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.06. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.26 and they have given up 64 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen while being struck out 69 times and walking 28 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.36 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 157 base hits and 82 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 52 batters and struck out 195. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .230, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .287 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.53 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .333. He has 21 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 3 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .432. He has totaled 18 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 16 times. The Phillies have 143 hits, including 27 doubles and 17 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Philadelphia has walked 46 times this season and they've struck out 166 times as a unit. They've left 112 men on base and have a team OPS of .659. They score 3.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 62 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 8-1 home record and a 14-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.32, Max Scherzer has a 2-1 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.41. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 1.96 and they have given up 38 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .194 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 53 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 6.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.24. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 124 base knocks and 42 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year and they give up 0.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 50 hitters and struck out 161. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.03 while their FIP as a staff is 2.99.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Nationals hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.39 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .323 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 20 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Yunel Escobar is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 8 times. The Nationals as a unit have 151 base hits, including 32 doubles and 23 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Washington as a team has walked 63 times this year and they have struck out 148 times. They've had 125 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 79 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 9-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 7-10-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 11-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
04/24/16 P Joe Ross Finger expected to miss next start
04/07/16 LF Ben Revere Oblique 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies
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